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Capitals at Devils
NHL

Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸6
New Jersey Devils
4
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McMichael's goal at 2:09 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 25, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Hunter Shepard stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.4 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (2 G), 2. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Hughes (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH3807310625
NJDNJD0241406422

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Mantha(1)
    A. Protas (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:37
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(3)
    A. Ovechkin (3), T. Wilson (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:52
  3. WSH
    S. Milano(1)
    T. Oshie (1), E. Kuznetsov (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:28

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Toffoli(5)
    T. Meier (4), J. Hughes (11)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:31
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(1)
    J. Hughes (12), T. Toffoli (3)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:19
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(2)
    J. Bratt (7), J. Marino (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:42
  4. NJD
    T. Toffoli(6)
    L. Hughes (1), J. Hughes (13)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:01

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(4)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (3), J. Carlson (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-4
    0:18
  2. WSH
    C. McMichael(2)
    A. Mantha (1), N. Backstrom (1)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    5-4
    2:09
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.73win prob +5 ptsVideo
    6-4
    18:25

Penalties

WSH 2 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

2nd

  • 10:26NJDNathan Bastian · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 16:28WSHSonny Milano · Hookingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 19:48NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

3rd

  • 6:32NJDDawson Mercer · Hookingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McMichael, 3rd 2:09 — WSH 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.31A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.30N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.25T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.19N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.15T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.02C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.15 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.74 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH45%55%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
22
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
33
19
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011030.05310—27:59
92E. KuznetsovC022-120.161004424:20
42M. FehérváryD000010.05740—22:14
17D. StromeC202030.460104721:12
77T. OshieR011-120.39300—20:38
43T. WilsonR011010.1132010020:17
8A. OvechkinL112+241.01200—20:05
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00120—19:17
3N. JensenD000+100.02020—18:21
38R. SandinD000-100.00020—17:43
15S. MilanoL101-210.07112—17:01
24C. McMichaelL101+120.28000—13:54
39A. ManthaR112+230.24010—13:18
19N. BackstromC011+110.190005612:40
27A. AlexeyevD000+210.01010—09:41
47B. MalenstynL000010.01310—08:20
45M. PhillipsR000000.00110—05:38
21A. ProtasL011+100.000003305:22
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31H. Shepard(W)22184.8182.64-1.3660:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).