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San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Sharks scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 15:23 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 28, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (27 saves, .964), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Stolarz27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0911009128
FLAFLA01521219336

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:30
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:48
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.24win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:23

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.89win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:58

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:00SJSKyle Burroughs · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

2nd

  • 6:35FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 14:03SJSTomas Hertl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:52SJSKyle Burroughs · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 14:56FLACarter Verhaeghe · Hookingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 10:54SJSMike Hoffman · Hookingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 15:50FLAEetu Luostarinen · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalSJS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 15:23 — FLA 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Stenlund · Goal · xG 0.89S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.24G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.20K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.10W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsFLA
2.11 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS31%69%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
36
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4K. BurroughsD000-100.00464—22:51
38M. FerraroD000010.00530—22:38
5M. BenningD000-130.05100—19:56
48T. HertlC000-210.043126918:58
71N. KnyzhovD000000.00010—17:58
10A. DuclairL000-220.31100—17:12
68M. HoffmanC000-110.08122016:40
62K. LabancR000010.232103316:06
72W. EklundL011010.030005015:59
7N. SturmC000010.081207115:41
84J. RuttaD000010.01030—15:24
6T. EmbersonD000010.01310—14:55
94A. BarabanovL000030.18000—14:10
11L. KuninC000-130.1220010014:05
20F. ZetterlundL101040.29210—14:04
24J. PetersonC000010.331003313:55
18F. ZadinaR000-220.10020—13:19
17T. BordeleauC011-120.281005011:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)35332.9433.18+1.1856:52

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).