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Panthers at Sharks
NHL

Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Stenlund's goal at 11:09 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 31, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.7 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikael Granlund (2 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Granlund2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1719315531
SJSSJS190726322

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    R. Lomberg(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:34
  2. SJS
    M. Hoffman(1)
    G. Smith (1), J. Rutta (1)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:58

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(12)PPG
    O. Ekman-Larsson (6), M. Tkachuk (13)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:09

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(3)PPG
    F. Zetterlund (3), M. Granlund (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:11
  2. SJS
    L. Kunin(3)
    D. Gushchin (1), M. Granlund (3)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:21
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(7)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (14), A. Barkov (10)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:06
  4. FLA
    K. Stenlund(4)
    U. Balinskis (1), S. Lorentz (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:09
  5. FLA
    A. Barkov(6)EN
    C. Verhaeghe (5), S. Reinhart (11)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:47

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:02FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min
  • 9:47SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

2nd

  • 11:29SJSGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 19:41FLANick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

3rd

  • 5:40FLASteven Lorentz · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 9:28SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalFLA goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Stenlund, 3rd 11:09 — FLA 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.38L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.36D. Gushchin · On goal · xG 0.17M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.07W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.05C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gushchin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gushchin · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gushchin · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSJS
4.04 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.02 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA55%45%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
19
5
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
3
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77N. MikkolaD000+100.00220—24:36
91O. Ekman-LarssonD011-100.00000—23:48
7D. KulikovD000+120.05110—23:12
42G. ForslingD000-120.05000—22:09
13S. ReinhartC112+130.820005019:03
17E. RodriguesC000-120.1601010018:46
16A. BarkovC112+141.320005618:05
19M. TkachukL022-140.31100—17:18
23C. VerhaegheC112040.30000017:09
27E. LuostarinenC000+110.00300016:30
15A. LundellC000030.631003815:37
9S. BennettC000-200.101023315:11
21N. CousinsC000020.07212013:26
28J. MahuraD000+110.02000—12:18
26U. BalinskisD011+100.01100—11:47
82K. StenlundC101+110.050005010:16
18S. LorentzC011+110.120025008:31
94R. LombergL101+210.04400—07:47
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)22193.8642.28-0.7260:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).