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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tommy Novak's goal at 2:06 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 32, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.8 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G, 1 A), 2. Samuel Fagemo (1 G), 3. Tommy Novak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Sherwood1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    S. Fagemo1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Novak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS01101318132
NSHNSH19212213534

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Fagemo(1)PPG
    G. Nyquist (2), A. Carrier (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:15

2nd period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(3)
    K. Sherwood (2), R. Josi (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:06
  2. NSH
    K. Sherwood(1)
    L. Evangelista (2), T. Barrie (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:18

3rd period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(4)PPG
    G. Nyquist (3), J. Parssinen (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    2:49
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(1)
    M. Ferraro (1), N. Knyzhov (1)
    snapxG 0.38Video
    1-4
    10:34
  3. NSH
    L. Evangelista(1)
    D. Fabbro (1)
    wristxG 0.24Video
    1-5
    13:26

Penalties

SJS 15 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:30SJSMackenzie Blackwood · Delaying game2 min
  • 18:53NSHJuuso Parssinen · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

2nd

  • 3:14SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 6:13NSHColton Sissons · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 8:52SJSLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood5 min
  • 8:52NSHKiefer Sherwood · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 15:49SJSMike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 1:45SJSFabian Zetterlund · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:17SJSAnthony Duclair · High stickingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tommy Novak, 2nd 2:06 — NSH 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.24F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.23T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.22G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.18J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.18R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.17A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.10S. Fagemo · Goal · xG 0.10M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.09T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.09T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.08S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Fagemo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
1.91 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS29%71%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
9
18
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD011-150.24232—22:33
48T. HertlC101+150.650006221:55
4K. BurroughsD000020.04210—20:44
71N. KnyzhovD011000.00120—19:50
7N. SturmC000-200.002107119:11
5M. BenningD000-110.02010—18:43
94A. BarabanovL000040.30000—18:21
10A. DuclairL000010.0200210017:44
68M. HoffmanC000040.22102016:26
84J. RuttaD000-100.15000—14:59
20F. ZetterlundL000-110.09102—14:09
72W. EklundL000-110.00000—13:55
11L. KuninC000010.002053813:54
62K. LabancR000-230.10200—13:41
24J. PetersonC000-110.100003313:14
6T. EmbersonD000-120.02320—13:10
18F. ZadinaR000000.00120—12:33
44M. VlasicD000010.00110—06:09
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)34295.8533.21-1.7960:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).