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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Lafferty's goal at 2:56 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 16, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Lafferty (1 G), 2. Casey DeSmith (37 saves, .925), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    S. Lafferty1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    C. DeSmith37 saves, .925
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN271613416
EDMEDM18218014340

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.46win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:42
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:25
  3. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:51

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:45
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:36
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:29

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.36win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:56

Penalties

VAN 14 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:03VANFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 8:37EDMZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

2nd

  • 1:12VANDakota Joshua · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 9:04VANConor Garland · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 14:08VANNoah Juulsen · High stickingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:55VANIan Cole · Roughingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 18:24EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interference2 min

3rd

  • 7:02VANFilip Hronek · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 8:10VANPhillip Di Giuseppe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:35EDMConnor McDavid · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Lafferty, 3rd 2:56 — VAN 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.46L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.20D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.00C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.7 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
1.94 G
All situations
3 G4.7
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.71 G
Power play
2 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN13%87%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 4.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
16
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
39
25
Blocked shots
9
21
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000+110.09134—25:57
43Q. HughesD011+110.07030—25:32
82I. ColeD000+110.01162—24:46
9J. MillerC000-110.0010104622:44
40E. PetterssonC022+310.322105019:42
57T. MyersD011+100.00130—19:38
6B. BoeserR011010.05100—16:19
24P. SuterC000010.011108016:17
34P. Di GiuseppeL000-100.07412—15:49
81D. JoshuaC000010.02402014:58
18S. LaffertyC101+110.362003314:40
72A. BeauvillierR000010.1501010012:53
47N. JuulsenD000000.00322—12:36
96A. KuzmenkoL101+110.31000—12:04
41A. HiroseD000000.00220—09:52
8C. GarlandR000030.20002—09:42
21N. HoglanderL112+210.07310—08:14
23J. StudnickaC101+110.20100007:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29C. DeSmith(W)40373.9254.71+1.7160:00

Season series

VAN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).