Skip to content
Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸2
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Final/OTPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1 in overtime, Matthew Tkachuk scoring at 1:51. The Hurricanes scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 1:51 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 26, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (37 saves, .974), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA011180314226
CARCAR120080802138

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Chatfield(1)
    S. Aho (7), S. Noesen (4)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:43

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    J. Mahura (2)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    7:43

Overtime

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(7)PPG
    S. Reinhart (3), S. Bennett (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +52 pts
    2-1
    1:51

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:39CARShayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:00FLASam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

2nd

  • 4:58FLAAleksander Barkov · Holdingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 15:40CARShayne Gostisbehere · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 17:29CARBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:29FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

3rd

  • 13:33FLARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

OT

  • 1:39CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Hookingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, OT 1:51 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.24J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.18T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.16J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.15J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.13S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.12J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.4 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
1.82 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA24%76%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
38
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000030.36110—24:52
42G. ForslingD000010.00010—23:19
5A. EkbladD000020.02300—23:12
16A. BarkovC101+130.141024320:50
18M. StaalD000010.02220—20:43
9S. BennettC011060.334126319:49
19M. TkachukL101+140.32322—19:42
13S. ReinhartC011-110.271202319:03
23C. VerhaegheC000+100.00010016:52
7R. GudasD000000.00302—15:46
10A. DuclairL000030.23100—15:34
15A. LundellC000-100.000005015:34
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.00300015:21
21N. CousinsC000010.0452010014:08
28J. MahuraD011000.00000—14:01
12E. StaalC000010.090105009:22
6C. WhiteC000000.020002507:37
94R. LombergL000000.00310—07:30
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)38371.9743.44+2.4461:51

Series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).