Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Buddy Robinson's goal at 10:22 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.9, PIT 3.7; shots on goal were CHI 27, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (1 G), 2. Petr Mrazek (38 saves, .950), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Athanasiou1 G

- ★★P. Mrazek38 saves, .950

- ★★★E. Malkin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-08:04
3rd period
1-15:28
2-110:22
3-110:48
4-118:36
4-219:22
5-219:37
Penalties
1st
- 5:47
Dmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Reese Johnson2 min
- 12:24
Ian Mitchell · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
2nd
- 0:57
Jonathan Toews · Slashingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 5:45
Alex Nylander · Hookingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
3rd
- 0:40
Caleb Jones · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 3:56
Caleb Jones · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 15:49
Wyatt Kaiser · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Buddy Robinson, 3rd 10:22 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.93 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.7
- 1.53 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 40
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 30
- Hits
- 20
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 9
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
5@
3Final
5@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















