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Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDET, BSSWX·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 7:59 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.7, DET 1.6; shots on goal were DAL 22, DET 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 12 of 13 (.923); Magnus Hellberg stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 3 A), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL363907622
DETDET091407120

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:53
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:59
  3. DAL
    M. Domi (36), T. Seguin (28)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    12:10

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    0:55
  2. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    3:37
  3. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.06
    6-0
    14:19
  4. DET
    wristxG 0.04
    6-1
    16:50

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:45DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 19:15DETTaro Hirose · Interferencedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

2nd

  • 17:27DETDavid Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min
  • 17:27DALJani Hakanpää · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 17:27DETDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min
  • 19:45DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

  • 15:41DALJoel Kiviranta · Hookingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalDAL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 1st 7:59 — DAL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.18A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.6 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsDET
1.76 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL53%47%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsDET
22
Shots on goal
20
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+210.11030—22:22
4M. HeiskanenD022+310.14010—21:05
6C. MillerD011+110.01010—18:23
23E. LindellD101+110.11010—18:14
2J. HakanpääD000000.00212—17:57
18M. DomiC011+120.081203317:38
91T. SeguinC011+110.1500010017:35
55T. HarleyD011+130.11000—17:05
53W. JohnstonC011+110.200005016:17
63E. DadonovL000+100.03100—15:35
24R. HintzC134+220.130006715:26
12R. FaksaC000010.011108315:11
21J. RobertsonL123+220.10100—15:10
14J. BennL101+120.150128014:31
16J. PavelskiC101+220.081007514:04
10T. DellandreaC101+110.15100013:55
11L. GlendeningC000000.082006412:48
25J. KivirantaL000010.04002—12:44
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)13121.9230.74-0.2640:00
41S. Wedgewood7701.0000.81+0.8120:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).