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Utah Mammoth at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 19:36 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 29, SEA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jared McCann (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matty Beniers (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Eberle1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0816115229
SEASEA11326114433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:36

2nd period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    xG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:28
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    5:52
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    12:00

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. Eberle (42), J. McCann (28)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:37
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.22
    2-4
    19:20

Penalties

ARI 40 PIM·SEA 16 PIM

1st

  • 12:48ARIConnor Mackey · Cross checkingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

2nd

  • 1:30SEAJamie Oleksiak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:14ARILiam O'Brien · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:49SEARyan Donato · Hookingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

3rd

  • 10:30ARIMilos Kelemen · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 10:30SEABrandon Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Milos Kelemen5 min
  • 10:30ARIMilos Kelemen · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Tanev5 min
  • 10:30ARIMilos Kelemen · Game misconduct10 min
  • 13:55ARILiam O'Brien · Instigatordrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 13:55ARIJuuso Välimäki · Interferencedrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 13:55SEAYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 13:55ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Will Borgen5 min
  • 13:55SEAWill Borgen · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 13:55ARILiam O'Brien · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalARI goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, 1st 19:36 — SEA 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.42M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.21E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.19M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.19J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.16V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.16M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSEA
1.92 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI30%70%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSEA
29
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/4
40
Penalty minutes
16
9
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD000-110.06100—20:45
12C. MackeyD000-230.09012—20:00
2P. NemethD000-120.04100—19:47
9C. KellerR011-110.2200010019:38
8N. SchmaltzC000-100.07000019:36
3J. BrownD000+140.09030—19:16
4J. VälimäkiD000-210.10002—19:13
77V. SoderstromD000+130.17030—18:07
72T. BoydC000030.331004517:01
63M. MaccelliL011-110.06000—16:07
36C. FischerR000020.06000—15:06
22J. McBainC000-300.074005515:04
29B. HaytonC101010.030006814:57
67L. CrouseL011-110.01000—14:34
26L. DauphinC101+140.380005712:17
24B. RitchieR000010.07010—10:56
38L. O'BrienC000000.011019010:40
21M. KelemenL000010.051017—08:56
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)33304.9093.11-0.8960:00

Season series

SEA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).