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Capitals at Canadiens
NHL

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSWA, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Washington Capitals 6-2. The Capitals scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Armia's goal at 7:52 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 26, MTL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.9 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Armia (3 G), 2. Mike Matheson (3 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Armia3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson3 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1608112226
MTLMTL01341227632

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:30

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(24)SHG
    wristxG 0.35win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    3:42
  2. MTL
    J. Armia(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    7:52
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    9:23
  4. MTL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:15

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    14:27
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.66win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:58
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.10
    2-6
    19:42

Penalties

WSH 21 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 10:27WSHTom Wilson · Instigatordrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 10:27WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 10:27WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:27MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 12:26MTLserved by R. Pitlick · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:25MTLMichael Pezzetta · Interferencedrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 6:59MTLJoel Edmundson · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 12:43WSHSonny Milano · Hookingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
  • 15:45WSHSonny Milano · Trippingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min

3rd

  • 1:02MTLChris Wideman · Roughingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 13:10MTLBrendan Gallagher · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Darcy Kuemper2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Armia, 2nd 7:52 — MTL 48% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.66J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.47J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.41N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.35M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.23N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.21R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.17M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.16M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.09R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.09J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.09J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.09R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.03C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 4.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMTL
2.82 G
All situations
5 G4.7
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH44%56%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMTL
26
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
0/3
21
Penalty minutes
15
17
Hits
8
19
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-440.46330—24:18
8A. OvechkinL011-210.11400—21:50
73C. ShearyL000-210.02100—20:01
19N. BackstromC101-220.461103519:53
3N. JensenD011-110.01120—19:02
16C. SmithC000-150.43010018:48
92E. KuznetsovC000-320.201004718:45
42M. FehérváryD000-100.07150—18:41
38R. SandinD000000.00000—17:50
43T. WilsonR000-110.260017—17:34
26N. DowdC000-120.263205317:24
59A. ProtasL000-210.02000—16:34
17D. StromeC112-220.100004616:10
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.00020—16:01
52M. IrwinD000010.05120—13:37
15S. MilanoL000-120.29004—10:06
96N. Aube-KubelR000-200.06110—09:24
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)31265.8393.14-1.8658:02

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).