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Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV SNW, SN360·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Klim Kostin's goal at 9:36 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 33, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Klim Kostin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Troy Terry (1 G), 3. Jack Campbell (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Kostin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Campbell27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM09213111333
ANAANA0701318128

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    K. Kostin(11)
    M. Janmark (15)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    9:36
  2. EDM
    N. Bjugstad(17)
    K. Kostin (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    12:46

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(22)
    S. Benoit (7), A. Henrique (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:56
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(35)EN
    C. McDavid (86), R. Nugent-Hopkins (64)
    wristxG 0.79win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    18:18

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:27ANACam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 18:55EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Klim Kostin, 2nd 9:36 — EDM 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.28M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.17D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.13C. White · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.12M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
3.82 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM71%29%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
33
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
10
14
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+150.29210—23:00
2E. BouchardD000+100.00120—21:24
5C. CeciD000+100.00110—19:37
14M. EkholmD000+110.02010—19:31
29L. DraisaitlC000030.510105018:37
97C. McDavidC011040.320007318:36
27B. KulakD000000.00110—18:26
91E. KaneL000020.39100—18:13
18Z. HymanL101010.79110—17:34
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011020.25102017:18
56K. YamamotoR000020.15010—16:36
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00110—16:18
72N. BjugstadC101+220.273105813:20
10D. RyanC000020.101103312:16
21K. KostinC112+220.25110011:58
37W. FoegeleL000030.08210—11:58
26M. JanmarkC011+210.04000011:57
19D. ShoreC000030.352006311:21
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)28271.9641.84+0.8460:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).