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Blackhawks at Flames
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV NBCSCH, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 1:42 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 23, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G), 2. Noah Hanifin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. Athanasiou2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2110428423
CGYCGY17119110336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    A. Athanasiou(17)
    L. Reichel (6), J. Toews (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:09
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(34)
    Unassisted
    batxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:52
  3. CHI
    J. Khaira(5)
    B. Katchouk (10)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:22

2nd period

  1. CGY
    N. Hanifin(7)
    B. Coleman (20), J. Huberdeau (38)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:44

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. Athanasiou(18)
    L. Reichel (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:42
  2. CHI
    A. Wagner(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:11
  3. CGY
    M. Backlund(18)
    N. Hanifin (30), D. Dube (25)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    13:09

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·CGY 0 PIM

1st

  • 19:29CHILukas Reichel · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 3rd 1:42 — CHI 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.22N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.20B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.20N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.20N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.13W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI24%76%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
36
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
29
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000010.02110—22:38
5C. MurphyD000010.02240—21:02
72A. VlasicD000+100.00020—20:43
82C. JonesD000-100.00120—19:57
25J. TinordiD000+110.01430—19:13
17J. DickinsonC000+110.031305718:15
90T. JohnsonC000040.61110017:32
11T. RaddyshR000030.27100—17:06
14B. KatchoukL011020.05010—17:03
16J. KhairaL101020.263205616:51
51I. MitchellD000+100.00110—16:34
15J. AndersonR000010.19100—15:51
19J. ToewsC011+100.000004114:02
27L. ReichelL022+100.00102—13:41
89A. AthanasiouC202+150.62010013:10
52R. JohnsonC000010.004205012:11
58M. EntwistleR000-100.0020010011:33
26A. WagnerL101010.13600—10:38
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)36333.9173.40+0.4060:00

Season series

CHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).