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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSP+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 11:40 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were PHI 33, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Casey DeSmith stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (2 G), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    R. Rakell2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI07013213233
PITPIT21511016431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:40
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(27)PPG
    E. Malkin (55), S. Crosby (56)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    14:53

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (57), J. Petry (23)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:23

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    5:57
  2. PHI
    M. Frost (24), J. Farabee (23)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    17:31
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:48

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·PIT 34 PIM

1st

  • 6:00PITMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 6:00PHICam York · Embellishment2 min
  • 13:25PHITravis Sanheim · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 7:18PHITravis Sanheim · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 7:31PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 10:31PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 14:23PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 14:45PHINoah Cates · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

3rd

  • 1:49PITEvgeni Malkin · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 1:49PITEvgeni Malkin · Misconduct10 min
  • 1:49PITEvgeni Malkin · Game misconduct10 min
  • 7:33PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min
  • 10:25PITRyan Poehling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:25PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 12:50PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 1st 11:40 — PIT 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.94E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.34B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.22E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 4.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
3.52 G
All situations
3 G4.1
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI56%44%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
34
30
Hits
29
7
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
7
12
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+110.04300—26:10
45C. YorkD000000.15112—25:22
74O. TippettR000080.63300—24:26
48M. FrostC011010.170105923:26
77T. DeAngeloD011-170.68000—23:25
11T. KonecnyR101-150.86204—22:28
86J. FarabeeL011000.20000—19:53
6T. SanheimD000010.04124—18:33
49N. CatesL000-100.000024416:15
61J. BraunD000000.00010—14:30
13K. HayesR000+120.172004714:10
57W. AllisonR000-210.06600—12:13
24N. SeelerD000-210.01210—11:07
21S. LaughtonC000-120.191006009:59
25J. van RiemsdykL011+110.04100—09:29
44N. DeslauriersL101020.15300—08:03
22B. LemieuxL000010.1151010006:39
20K. BellowsL000000.00000—04:45
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)30273.9003.17+0.1757:39

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).