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St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSW, BSMW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Ducks scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 1:02 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 36, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kasperi Kapanen (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    K. Kapanen2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Vrana1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL31721217636
ANAANA2110717325

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(21)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:46
  2. STL
    J. Faulk (28), B. Schenn (35)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:01
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    4:05
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    15:14
  5. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    15:33

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    1:02
  2. STL
    T. Krug (23), S. Blais (10)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    5-2
    1:31

3rd period

  1. STL
    N. Leddy (18), C. Parayko (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    0:15
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    5:39

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:26STLSammy Blais · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 10:21ANAMaxime Comtois · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 10:53STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

2nd

  • 7:53STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by Brett Leason2 min
  • 18:44STLJakub Vrana · Slashingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 19:24ANAMax Jones · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 11:44ANABrett Leason · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 14:00ANACam Fowler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:37STLSammy Blais · Slashingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 1:02 — STL 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.18C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.18T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.13N. Nesterenko · Goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.09R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.09N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.03S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
3.66 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.56 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL74%26%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
36
Shots on goal
25
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
6
14
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD033+200.00020—22:53
72J. FaulkD022010.04100—20:52
4N. LeddyD011+320.04000—20:20
6M. ScandellaD000+110.03010—19:10
18R. ThomasC000010.070104418:58
42K. KapanenR213+160.47200—17:27
89P. BuchnevichL000020.500105017:19
47T. KrugD011+230.05010—16:37
25J. KyrouR000010.17002—16:18
10B. SchennC213+340.410124415:43
41R. BortuzzoD000010.02020—15:17
20B. SaadL000+310.04000—14:45
15J. VranaL112+330.72012—13:49
63J. NeighboursL000020.08210—13:46
79S. BlaisL112040.61124—13:43
26N. WalkerL000+110.052104412:15
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.15000—12:05
9T. PitlickC000020.12300010:23
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)25223.8802.13-0.8760:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).