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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV BSSC, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 16:07 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 32, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 3.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (2 G, 2 A), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 3. Torey Krug (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA05114113232
STLSTL21631315634

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    N. Acciari(3)
    J. Faulk (10), B. Schenn (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:44
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(3)
    R. Thomas (10)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:07

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(4)
    R. Thomas (11), J. Kyrou (4)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:02
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(5)
    P. Buchnevich (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    4:52
  3. ANA
    C. Fowler(1)PPG
    A. Henrique (4)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    6:43
  4. STL
    T. Krug(4)PPG
    J. Kyrou (5), P. Buchnevich (7)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    8:44

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(6)PPG
    C. Fowler (6), M. McTavish (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    2-5
    8:41
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(4)
    J. Kyrou (6)
    wristxG 0.10
    2-6
    15:28

Penalties

ANA 11 PIM·STL 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:12ANAAdam Henrique · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:52STLCalle Rosen · Trippingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 7:42ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 13:41STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

3rd

  • 2:03STLNoel Acciari · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 7:55STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min
  • 16:15ANABrett Leason · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min
  • 16:15STLAlexey Toropchenko · Roughingdrawn by Brett Leason2 min
  • 19:55STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 19:55ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 1st 16:07 — STL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.15N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.11R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.10T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.42 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.40 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
1.02 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
32
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
15
14
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
12
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD112-260.39100—24:51
3J. KlingbergD000-210.03020—22:59
37M. McTavishC011020.162004019:00
13S. BenoitD000-100.00120—18:39
29D. KulikovD000-160.09030—18:18
77F. VatranoR000-220.14410—17:32
19T. TerryR000-150.50000—17:18
11T. ZegrasC000-200.000002716:51
16R. StromeC000-200.001004416:13
14A. HenriqueC112-220.501027016:01
45C. WhiteD000-210.01000—15:17
49M. JonesL000-100.00100—14:56
48A. StrandD000-210.02110—14:45
33J. SilfverbergR000-210.03002—14:02
20B. LeasonR000-110.10002—13:05
21I. LundestromC000030.250107812:49
40P. RegendaL000-110.15000—11:59
39S. CarrickC000-100.012058310:47
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)29245.8282.03-2.9739:36
41A. Stolarz541.8000.68-0.3220:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).