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Blue Jackets at Canadiens
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSOH, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 8-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rafael Harvey-Pinard's goal at 7:13 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 23, MTL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 4.0 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Rafael Harvey-Pinard (3 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    M. Hoffman1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ2100508223
MTLMTL2841727832

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:32
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:39
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:43
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    18:00

2nd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:13
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:13
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.25win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    13:08
  4. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    16:42

3rd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.05
    2-7
    11:48
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.07
    2-8
    13:49

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:46MTLMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 1:13MTLDavid Savard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 2:36CBJHunter McKown · Slashingdrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min
  • 15:10CBJAdam Boqvist · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 17:02MTLJonathan Drouin · Holding the stickdrawn by Hunter McKown2 min

3rd

  • 14:18MTLJordan Harris · High stickingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
  • 17:48CBJGavin Bayreuther · High stickingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCBJ goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Rafael Harvey-Pinard, 2nd 7:13 — MTL 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.32B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.25M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.24M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.14J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.13R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.11C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.10K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.08J. Ylonen · Goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.07J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.05A. Belzile · Goal · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL8 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsMTL
1.72 G
All situations
8 G2.9
0.92 G
Even strength
7 G2.7
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ27%73%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
32
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. PeekeD011-410.03030—21:13
27A. BoqvistD000020.06112—20:03
77N. BlankenburgD000-120.13120—19:40
38B. JennerC000-110.090005819:07
23J. ChristiansenD000-100.00120—19:05
13J. GaudreauL000-110.05000—18:18
15G. BayreutherD011-410.01012—17:29
96J. RoslovicC011-110.040105517:24
86K. MarchenkoR101-240.2811010016:58
91K. JohnsonC011-100.16000015:18
41H. McKownC000010.101127914:58
75T. BerniD000000.00040—14:57
18L. PedersonC101-230.36300014:30
52E. BemstromC000030.17000014:05
7S. KuralyC000-310.035005513:22
64T. Fix-WolanskyR000-110.07210—13:19
19L. FoudyC000000.03200012:41
50E. RobinsonL000-310.03100—12:01
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)24186.7502.00-4.0037:02
31M. Hutchinson862.7500.93-1.0722:58

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).