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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 18:49 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 23, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (22 saves, .957), 3. Ryan Reaves (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    R. Reaves1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0601116123
MINMIN0511129325

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:45

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +24 pts
    1-1
    1:15
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +46 pts
    1-2
    18:49
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.34win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:29

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:46CHILukas Reichel · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 6:13MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min
  • 9:09MINMarcus Foligno · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 9:09CHIConnor Murphy · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:59MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 3rd 18:49 — MIN 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.34M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.17R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.15B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI47%53%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
23
Shots on goal
25
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-110.18010—24:13
82C. JonesD000000.02110—21:48
5C. MurphyD000-130.03412—19:12
90T. JohnsonC000-220.180103318:51
11T. RaddyshR000-210.02100—18:42
25J. TinordiD000-130.03110—18:25
27L. ReichelL101020.36012—17:58
17J. DickinsonC000-200.002104017:37
44W. KaiserD000010.06020—16:42
89A. AthanasiouC000020.16100015:50
22N. ZaitsevD000000.00120—15:43
16J. KhairaL000-100.002107115:23
58M. EntwistleR000+110.24100—13:41
53B. RobinsonR000010.11300—13:34
14B. KatchoukL000-130.16000—13:04
52R. JohnsonC000000.005002912:16
86M. HardmanL000010.04510—11:40
15J. AndersonR000-120.12000—11:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)24222.9171.85-0.1559:47

Season series

MIN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).