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Blackhawks at Panthers
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV NBCSCH, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Brandon Montour scoring at 2:43. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 2:43 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 24, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (3 A), 3. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk3 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI27081801324
FLAFLA0901431614443

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:49
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:53

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:29
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    8:58
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    12:42
  4. CHI
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:15

Overtime

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:43

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·FLA 22 PIM

1st

  • 13:19FLANick Cousins · Hookingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min
  • 14:39FLAMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

2nd

  • 1:16CHINikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 7:40FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Filip Roos2 min
  • 17:09FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Filip Roos2 min

3rd

  • 1:37CHISeth Jones · Slashingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 4:28CHIJujhar Khaira · Cross checkingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 8:45CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 10:17FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 13:51FLAserved by R. Lomberg · Too many men on the ice2 min

OT

  • 2:43FLAJosh Mahura · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, OT 2:43 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.21S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.10M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07C. White · Missed · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsFLA
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI30%70%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
43
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
22
18
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000000.00312—28:09
82C. JonesD101+220.07210—24:23
23P. KurashevC000-220.090026519:36
90T. JohnsonC011+130.40000019:18
58M. EntwistleR000010.30110—18:32
11T. RaddyshR011020.23020—18:17
25J. TinordiD000-210.01330—18:08
17J. DickinsonC011010.243105517:55
70C. GuttmanC101+210.230005517:55
22N. ZaitsevD000-110.04252—17:15
89A. AthanasiouC000-100.1401010016:33
27L. ReichelL000-120.20000—16:23
51I. MitchellD000+110.02010—15:19
14B. KatchoukL101020.08110—14:29
16J. KhairaL022+220.142225512:54
48F. RoosD000+110.04100—12:22
15J. AndersonR011+110.02000—12:07
24A. BjorkL000010.01000—04:28
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(O)43394.9073.44-0.5660:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).