Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV NBCSP, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 1-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 2:09 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 56% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were PHI 19, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G), 2. Pyotr Kochetkov (19 saves, 1.000), 3. Brent Burns (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov19 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI060706019
CARCAR1601508129

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas (35), B. Burns (39)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    2:09

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:19PHIKevin Hayes · Holdingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 10:05PHIIvan Provorov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:27PHINick Seeler · Slashingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 11:27CARStefan Noesen · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 16:01PHIMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 10:17CARJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 14:20PHIserved by K. Bellows · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 1st 2:09 — CAR 56% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.25S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.22A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.15J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
1.30 G
All situations
1 G2.8
0.90 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
29
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
8
22
Blocked shots
6
8
Giveaways
23
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000020.06152—26:02
45C. YorkD000010.03220—24:11
55R. RistolainenD000010.09200—22:44
74O. TippettR000030.24110—20:04
86J. FarabeeL000010.09010—19:46
6T. SanheimD000000.01230—19:45
48M. FrostC000020.091122719:42
21S. LaughtonC000030.282005016:47
13K. HayesR000000.00122—16:05
49N. CatesL000000.160105315:59
73E. DesnoyersL000000.000003315:24
52T. FoersterR000020.19030—13:51
24N. SeelerD000030.04112—13:25
25J. van RiemsdykL000000.04000—13:23
61J. BraunD000000.00110—12:50
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00510—09:54
58T. LaczynskiC000010.011002007:55
20K. BellowsL000000.00100—07:38
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(L)29281.9662.79+1.7957:53

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).