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Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, BSSO·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Brent Burns scoring at 4:06. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brent Burns's goal at 4:06 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 38, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Carter Hart stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Brent Burns (1 G), 2. Wade Allison (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    W. Allison1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR2120111916438
PHIPHI092811002329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:27
  2. CAR
    J. Fast (1), J. Staal (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:04

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:14
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    7:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:09
  2. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    17:55

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (6), M. Necas (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:06

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:50PHILukas Sedlak · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Antti Raanta2 min
  • 8:44CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 12:04PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 17:05PHITony DeAngelo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 17:05PHITravis Sanheim · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 17:05CARBrent Burns · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

2nd

  • 2:09CARPaul Stastny · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:08CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 9:02PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:56CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 16:18CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

3rd

  • 15:07CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brent Burns, OT 4:06 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.16N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.15W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.13T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.13S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.12N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.11W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.10L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.10L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.07W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
38
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000050.07020—25:12
22B. PesceD011+100.01310—23:28
8B. BurnsD101+110.07104—22:44
76B. SkjeiD011+230.17110—22:21
20S. AhoC011+210.221024621:40
88M. NecasC112+150.583103321:26
37A. SvechnikovR000050.71202—20:13
11J. StaalC112+210.084004718:38
48J. MartinookL101+220.215005016:53
86T. TeravainenC000030.191005016:46
71J. FastR011+130.35200—16:36
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.161047513:50
24S. JarvisR000010.12110—13:01
5J. ChatfieldD000-120.31110—11:50
15D. CoghlanD000010.01110—11:01
26P. StastnyC000-120.270025010:03
23S. NoesenR000-120.11000—09:42
21D. StepanC000010.011205005:49
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)29263.8972.62-0.3864:01

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).