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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV BSOH, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Hamonic's goal at 2:16 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were CBJ 21, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G), 2. Travis Hamonic (2 G), 3. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Hamonic2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1318010221
OTTOTT215213111539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:17
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:35
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:18

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:16
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    3:04
  3. CBJ
    P. Laine(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    10:56

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    12:07

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:31CBJTim Berni · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 9:45OTTMathieu Joseph · Kneeingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 15:11OTTJakob Chychrun · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 15:11CBJBoone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 17:25CBJAdam Boqvist · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 10:35OTTErik Brannstrom · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Hamonic, 2nd 2:16 — OTT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.28T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.23J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.20B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.12S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hamonic · Goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.05A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.00D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 3.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
1.42 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.01 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ15%85%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.32 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
39
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. PeekeD000000.00340—22:26
44E. GudbransonD000030.04210—21:14
77N. BlankenburgD000-210.06210—21:05
27A. BoqvistD000-300.00002—19:45
50E. RobinsonL000-100.02010—18:18
34C. SillingerC000020.052003217:38
38B. JennerC000-420.231026517:20
96J. RoslovicC101010.081002317:18
86K. MarchenkoR011-300.00200—16:58
24M. OlivierR000-110.08420—16:50
29P. LaineL101-140.33000—16:50
75T. BerniD000+110.01122—16:13
15G. BayreutherD000-300.00210—16:10
91K. JohnsonC000+110.08020015:36
13J. GaudreauL000-420.09000—15:11
19L. FoudyC000010.05200010:33
52E. BemstromC000020.25100007:37
18L. PedersonC000000.001006706:58
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Hutchinson16151.9381.54+0.5436:56
90E. Merzlikins(L)23194.8261.90-2.1023:04

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).