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Capitals at Sharks
NHL

Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸8
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSWA+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the San Jose Sharks 8-3. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Irwin's goal at 15:28 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 30, SJS 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 30 (.733), 5.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Irwin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Aube-Kubel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Irwin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH05415410830
SJSSJS22009112341

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(16)PPG
    E. Karlsson (60), W. Eklund (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:03
  2. SJS
    A. Barabanov(13)
    L. Couture (30), A. Johnsson (2)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:30

2nd period

  1. WSH
    C. Smith(5)
    D. Strome (28), S. Milano (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:46
  2. WSH
    N. Aube-Kubel(3)
    C. Sheary (19), N. Dowd (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:30
  3. WSH
    M. Irwin(1)
    G. Carlsson (1), N. Aube-Kubel (7)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:28
  4. WSH
    C. Smith(6)
    R. Sandin (17), D. Strome (29)
    batxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    19:02

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(16)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (25), R. Sandin (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    5:50
  2. SJS
    N. Sturm(13)
    N. Gregor (3), E. Karlsson (61)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    5-3
    9:02
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(34)
    T. Wilson (3), G. Carlsson (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    6-3
    9:11
  4. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(35)
    V. Iorio (1), R. Sandin (19)
    wristxG 0.14
    7-3
    16:05
  5. WSH
    D. Strome(14)
    S. Milano (17)
    wristxG 0.10
    8-3
    17:30

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:53SJSTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 10:07WSHSonny Milano · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 17:22WSHNic Dowd · High sticking double minordrawn by Fabian Zetterlund4 min

2nd

  • 5:08WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 12:26SJSOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min

3rd

  • 5:45SJSKevin Labanc · Clippingdrawn by Vincent Iorio2 min
  • 5:45SJSBench · Game misconduct head coach0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Irwin, 2nd 15:28 — WSH 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.56A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.24N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.18M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.16E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.13A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.10W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.09N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.09E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.07W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSJS
2.68 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.87 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH38%62%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
41
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
12
14
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. AlexeyevD000+100.00030—23:07
38R. SandinD033+100.01310—21:40
57T. van RiemsdykD000050.07020—19:30
18G. CarlssonD022+310.06200—19:00
52M. IrwinD101+320.12340—18:34
92E. KuznetsovC000020.441105618:00
8A. OvechkinL213+140.48010—17:06
19N. BackstromC000010.101005816:49
77T. OshieR101020.2431010015:28
43T. WilsonR011000.02410—15:01
73C. ShearyL011+240.27100—14:50
6V. IorioD011+210.04010—14:48
96N. Aube-KubelR112+220.18402—14:19
26N. DowdC011+100.003044713:31
17D. StromeC123+410.101008013:02
16C. SmithC202+330.29220012:52
15S. MilanoL022+310.03022—12:17
39A. ManthaR000-110.1201010012:10
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)41383.9273.27+0.2760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).