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Hurricanes at Coyotes
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV BSAZX, BSSO·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 6-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 8:57 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 42, ARI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brent Burns (4 A), 3. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Burns4 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR27314121642
ARIARI071902118

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    P. Stastny(8)
    B. Burns (34), J. Slavin (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:20
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(26)
    A. Svechnikov (31), B. Skjei (15)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:57

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(4)
    B. Burns (35), S. Jarvis (19)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    5:43
  2. ARI
    L. Crouse(20)
    J. Moser (18), V. Soderstrom (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    10:41
  3. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(11)PPG
    M. Necas (30), A. Svechnikov (32)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    12:26
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(27)PPG
    B. Burns (36), M. Necas (31)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    14:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(25)PPG
    B. Burns (37), S. Aho (28)
    slapxG 0.13
    6-1
    1:47

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:33CARJaccob Slavin · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

2nd

  • 1:09CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 8:36CARBrett Pesce · High stickingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 11:14ARIPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 13:45ARIJ.J. Moser · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 1:19ARIBarrett Hayton · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 6:48ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCAR goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 1st 8:57 — CAR 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.29V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.22T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.00V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.0 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsARI
3.76 G
All situations
1 G2.0
3.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.73 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR77%23%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsARI
42
Shots on goal
18
56%
Faceoffs
44%
3/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD044+200.07000—22:22
74J. SlavinD112+120.08002—20:59
76B. SkjeiD011030.14100—20:44
22B. PesceD000020.08214—19:44
20S. AhoC213+150.371005317:03
41S. GostisbehereD101030.24000—16:54
37A. SvechnikovR022+220.25120—16:12
82J. KotkaniemiC000030.420006315:58
48J. MartinookL000010.19010—15:49
88M. NecasC123050.442005015:48
86T. TeravainenC000-100.00000015:33
11J. StaalC000030.295104015:23
5J. ChatfieldD000050.15120—15:20
24S. JarvisR011+210.27200—14:45
23S. NoesenR000+110.03300—14:20
71J. FastR000020.2121010013:22
26P. StastnyC101+130.440206012:09
21D. StepanC000+110.030008811:39
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)18171.9441.99+0.9959:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).