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Coyotes at Hurricanes
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSAZ, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lawson Crouse's goal at 1:52 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were ARI 27, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 3.9 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Lawson Crouse (2 G), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11013313427
CARCAR014010012036

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:06

3rd period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    1:52
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    3-0
    9:14
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.93
    4-0
    17:53

Penalties

ARI 13 PIM·CAR 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:18ARITroy Stecher · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:30ARIZack Kassian · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 7:10ARILawson Crouse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:19CARDerek Stepan · Cross checkingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:25ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 14:01CARJordan Martinook · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 19:48CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

3rd

  • 10:47ARITroy Stecher · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 10:47CARStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Troy Stecher5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalARI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Lawson Crouse, 3rd 1:52 — ARI 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.27S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.27S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.17S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.08J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.06J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR0 G · 3.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCAR
3.53 G
All situations
0 G3.9
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI29%71%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
29
Hits
21
30
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD022+310.00040—23:14
90J. MoserD011+110.05170—22:58
6J. ChychrunD011+380.37310—20:32
2P. NemethD000000.00220—19:59
9C. KellerR011+110.2001210019:40
8N. SchmaltzC101+160.520101719:10
61D. MayoD000000.03330—17:29
29B. HaytonC000+110.010006916:01
72T. BoydC000+210.231104315:12
22J. McBainC000000.003204015:06
36C. FischerR000000.00100—14:14
17N. BjugstadC101+220.383302913:46
67L. CrouseL202+341.33312—13:40
38L. O'BrienC000000.00300013:11
51T. StecherD000000.00037—13:08
12N. RitchieL000010.09210—12:37
11D. GuentherR022+210.15100—12:09
44Z. KassianR000+100.08302—09:54
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)363601.0003.86+3.8660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).