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Panthers at Predators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Nashville Predators
▸7
FinalTV BSSO, BSFL·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Florida Panthers 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 7:40 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were FLA 33, NSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 12 of 14 (.857); Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan McDonagh (3 A), 3. Tommy Novak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. McDonagh3 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Novak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA210011112333
NSHNSH3729210726

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:36
  2. FLA
    N. Cousins(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:55
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(28)
    B. Montour (37)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:09
  4. NSH
    M. Duchene(17)
    R. McDonagh (11), M. Granlund (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    12:56
  5. NSH
    R. Johansen(12)PPG
    R. Josi (32)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    15:01

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(9)
    R. Josi (33), R. McDonagh (12)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:40
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(14)
    R. McDonagh (13), R. Johansen (16)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    16:23

3rd period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(6)PPG
    P. Tomasino (1)
    wristxG 0.14
    2-6
    8:58
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(21)PPG
    A. Barkov (34), B. Montour (38)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    9:48
  3. NSH
    Y. Trenin(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45
    3-7
    14:14

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:19FLAChris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 19:11FLARyan Lomberg · High stickingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 8:47NSHTanner Jeannot · Holdingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min

3rd

  • 7:47FLAGrigori Denisenko · Boardingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 9:40NSHJuuso Parssinen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 9:40FLAJosh Mahura · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 9:40NSHJuuso Parssinen · Boardingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalFLA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 2nd 7:40 — NSH 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.45M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.45N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.19C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.14T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.13T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH7 G · 3.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNSH
3.23 G
All situations
6 G3.8
2.52 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA55%45%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD022-140.18110—27:56
5A. EkbladD000-300.27510—27:11
42G. ForslingD000-230.16010—22:51
18M. StaalD000000.00340—20:42
16A. BarkovC011-340.552103819:25
19M. TkachukL101-130.22100—19:14
13S. ReinhartC101-250.680005817:20
12E. StaalC000010.000205817:19
23C. VerhaegheC000-120.49000017:01
27E. LuostarinenC000+100.001001416:49
15A. LundellC000-140.17000016:47
28J. MahuraD000010.04002—14:10
94R. LombergL000030.27102—13:50
21N. CousinsC101020.07310013:45
6C. WhiteC000-100.001105708:55
14G. DenisenkoL000-100.12002—08:37
71C. TierneyC000-100.0010210007:53
7R. GudasD000010.04240—06:59
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight14122.8571.53-0.4730:43
72S. Bobrovsky(L)1174.6361.37-2.6327:40

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).