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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 12:56 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were LAK 41, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 16 of 17 (.941); John Gibson stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mason McTavish (1 G), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK114213314641
ANAANA05112210327

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Iafallo (12), K. Fiala (38)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:22

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:52
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:56
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    17:53

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler (20), T. Zegras (28)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:28
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(17)PPG
    K. Fiala (39), D. Doughty (34)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    9:44
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    13:10
  4. LAK
    S. Durzi (22), P. Danault (26)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    5-3
    15:30
  5. LAK
    K. Fiala(19)EN
    wristxG 0.76
    6-3
    18:47

Penalties

LAK 13 PIM·ANA 16 PIM

2nd

  • 1:22ANATrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Arthur Kaliyev2 min
  • 16:45ANATrevor Zegras · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 19:36LAKPheonix Copley · Match penaltydrawn by Frank Vatrano5 min
  • 19:36LAKPheonix Copley · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 19:36ANAMax Jones · Roughingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 19:36LAKDrew Doughty · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 19:36ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Pheonix Copley2 min
  • 19:36ANAJohn Gibson · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 19:36LAKMikey Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

3rd

  • 2:51LAKBlake Lizotte · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 2:51ANADerek Grant · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 9:30ANADerek Grant · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 13:31ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 2nd 12:56 — LAK 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.21F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.14J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
4.85 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.23 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK79%21%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.05 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
41
Shots on goal
27
69%
Faceoffs
31%
3/4
Power play
1/2
23
Penalty minutes
16
11
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD022+150.43412—25:38
44M. AndersonD000+110.03102—22:05
50S. DurziD011010.08010—18:22
11A. KopitarC112020.120008118:17
3M. RoyD000-130.20010—17:06
13G. VilardiC000-100.00010016:23
9A. KempeR101050.25110—16:21
22K. FialaL123+251.45000—16:10
12T. MooreL011010.42000—16:02
33V. ArvidssonL202050.40010—15:58
26S. WalkerD000010.02210—15:58
24P. DanaultC011-100.001106915:54
2A. EdlerD000+100.02110—15:30
34A. KaliyevR000-110.28000—14:20
46B. LizotteC112+270.820027114:01
19A. IafalloL022+230.28000—13:42
89R. KupariC000010.021005012:28
55Q. ByfieldR000000.02010—11:04
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29P. Copley17161.9411.21+0.2139:17
32J. Quick(W)1082.8000.97-1.0320:24

Season series

LAK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).