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Red Wings at Flames
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV BSDET, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 15:21 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 24, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G, 2 A), 2. Dominik Kubalik (2 G), 3. Dylan Larkin (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Kubalik2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1731314524
CGYCGY18112015235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(16)SHG
    M. Backlund (24)
    tip-inxG 0.29win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    15:22
  2. DET
    D. Kubalik(15)
    T. Bertuzzi (7), J. Oesterle (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:59

2nd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(7)PPG
    D. Larkin (32), D. Perron (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    2:27
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(16)
    R. Andersson (28)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    9:03
  3. DET
    D. Kubalik(16)
    D. Larkin (33), T. Bertuzzi (8)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:21
  4. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(3)PPG
    R. Fabbri (6), D. Larkin (34)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Suter(8)
    F. Zadina (1), B. Chiarot (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    3:55

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 15:07CGYTyler Toffoli · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 2:14CGYMichael Stone · Cross checkingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 9:59CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 12:49DETFilip Zadina · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 18:27CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 19:27DETMichael Rasmussen · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDET goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 2nd 15:21 — DET 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.29M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.19N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.14J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.7 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCGY
2.35 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET27%73%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCGY
24
Shots on goal
35
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
27
23
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000+100.00120—22:33
53M. SeiderD000-100.03320—21:31
8B. ChiarotD011+110.05020—19:08
96J. WalmanD000010.08120—18:27
71D. LarkinC033-130.380104517:45
82J. OesterleD011+100.08150—17:34
18A. CoppC000000.070106317:01
2O. MaattaD000+130.08010—16:55
14R. FabbriC112-110.10110016:07
57D. PerronL011-120.09110—16:06
24P. SuterC101+130.311107315:53
27M. RasmussenC000010.11112015:51
52J. BerggrenR000000.09000—15:09
59T. BertuzziL123020.24310—14:58
81D. KubalikL202+140.39000—13:33
90J. VelenoC000+100.001005513:04
11F. ZadinaR011+110.02222—12:25
70O. SundqvistC000+120.15000012:04
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(W)35332.9433.68+1.6859:56

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).