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Flames at Red Wings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV BSDET, SN1·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Flames scored first; the Red Wings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Zadina's goal at 5:51 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.1, DET 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 36, DET 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Ville Husso stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Zadina (1 G), 2. Ville Husso (35 saves, .972), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    F. Zadina1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    V. Husso35 saves, .972
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01219015136
DETDET051814217

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(12)
    N. Hanifin (19), M. Backlund (23)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +23 pts
    1-0
    18:07
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(16)PPG
    D. Perron (17), M. Seider (23)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    19:46

3rd period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(1)
    O. Sundqvist (12), R. Hagg (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:51

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:39DETFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 4:45CGYNikita Zadorov · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonatan Berggren4 min
  • 14:26CGYMichael Stone · High stickingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 18:54CGYDillon Dube · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 7:05DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 16:09DETBen Chiarot · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 19:09CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Interferencedrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Zadina, 3rd 5:51 — DET 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.24L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.19D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.18D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.14F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.08J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01
DET2 G · 2.3 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
2.11 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY46%54%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
36
Shots on goal
17
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD011+110.11110—24:48
52M. WeegarD000030.05000—22:35
8C. TanevD000+110.05020—21:20
16N. ZadorovD000-110.00204—19:27
28E. LindholmC000020.150107919:14
11M. BacklundC011+130.241104219:02
91N. KadriC000030.190202917:33
73T. ToffoliC000020.19110017:03
49J. PelletierL000020.22010—16:57
10J. HuberdeauL000000.00000—16:14
29D. DubeC000040.24202016:13
88A. MangiapaneL000+120.15102—15:53
26M. StoneD000-120.04102—13:53
20B. ColemanL101+160.37200—13:28
48D. GilbertD000010.00110—12:52
22T. LewisC000-120.0100010011:04
63A. RuzickaC000-110.000103308:05
17M. LucicL000-100.05000—07:46
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)17152.8822.28+0.2858:50

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).