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Predators at Flyers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Final/OTTV NBCSP, BSSO·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Matt Duchene scoring at 0:34. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 0:34 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 25, PHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (23 saves, .958), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH051901011225
PHIPHI071100700124

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(14)
    M. Duchene (25), C. Glass (12)
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    1:43
  2. PHI
    K. Hayes(17)
    J. Farabee (17), P. Brown (4)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:40

Overtime

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(16)
    R. Johansen (15), R. Josi (31)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    0:34

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·PHI 12 PIM

2nd

  • 0:13NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 0:13PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 5:02PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 12:48PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen5 min
  • 12:48NSHJuuso Parssinen · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, OT 0:34 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.20O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.16K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsPHI
2.22 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
24
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/1
Power play
0/0
10
Penalty minutes
12
43
Hits
40
13
Blocked shots
30
8
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+130.05010—25:20
14M. EkholmD000030.08030—24:15
27R. McDonaghD000000.00540—20:49
64M. GranlundC000000.00100020:38
92R. JohansenC011+110.060008819:38
95M. DucheneC112+210.110006319:11
3J. LauzonD000-110.06900—19:03
10C. SissonsC000-100.000006217:02
22N. NiederreiterR101+140.68300—16:52
57D. FabbroD000010.06100—15:50
13Y. TreninC000020.20400015:30
84T. JeannotL000-120.10715—15:06
8C. GlassC011+110.140002514:53
36C. SmithR000010.06410—14:44
5K. GravelD000+110.03210—14:16
17M. JankowskiL000-120.11200—13:01
75J. ParssinenC000020.413153310:32
9F. ForsbergL000000.04210—05:25
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)24231.9581.67+0.6760:11

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).