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Red Wings at Canadiens
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV BSDETX, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Robby Fabbri scoring at 2:36. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robby Fabbri's goal at 2:36 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were DET 42, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Jake Allen stopped 38 of 42 (.905). Three stars: 1. Rafael Harvey-Pinard (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Belzile (2 A), 3. Moritz Seider (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Belzile2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Seider3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET11021701114442
MTLMTL152100602323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:54
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:54

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin (28), M. Seider (19)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:56
  2. MTL
    K. Dach (22), D. Savard (11)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    6:57
  3. DET
    deflectedxG 0.34win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    13:30
  4. MTL
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    18:39

Overtime

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.38win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:36

Penalties

DET 9 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

2nd

  • 0:05MTLKirby Dach · Fightingdrawn by Andrew Copp5 min
  • 0:05DETAndrew Copp · Fightingdrawn by Kirby Dach5 min
  • 3:29MTLChris Wideman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:38MTLJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 15:12DETJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

3rd

  • 18:56DETMichael Rasmussen · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalDET goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Robby Fabbri, OT 2:36 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.35R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.26R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.21R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.20R. Harvey-Pinard · Goal · xG 0.20M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Pezzetta · Goal · xG 0.15A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsMTL
4.14 G
All situations
3 G2.6
3.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET73%27%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.05 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsMTL
42
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
25
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
26
9
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD033+210.02320—25:45
17F. HronekD000-130.11210—23:36
96J. WalmanD000+140.37022—21:30
71D. LarkinC011-150.640006719:40
8B. ChiarotD000-140.32320—19:23
18A. CoppC000+100.000254818:06
59T. BertuzziL000-250.23200—17:50
27M. RasmussenC112+220.172225017:38
82J. OesterleD000-130.15000—16:55
23L. RaymondL000-120.36000—16:48
2O. MaattaD000000.00020—14:54
57D. PerronL000000.00100—14:52
90J. VelenoC000-140.354004014:50
14R. FabbriC101+120.49210014:45
52J. BerggrenR101-120.31130—14:25
24P. SuterC000010.022103311:59
70O. SundqvistC101040.551005011:04
81D. KubalikL011000.00210—11:00
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)23203.8702.60-0.4062:36

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).