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Jets at Red Wings
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
5
Detroit Red Wings
▸7
FinalTV BSDET, TSN3·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-5. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robby Fabbri's goal at 1:52 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 37, DET 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 22 (.727), 4.2 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Moritz Seider (4 A), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Seider4 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG17217213537
DETDET382926723

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Walman(4)
    M. Seider (12), A. Copp (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:16
  2. DET
    J. Berggren(7)
    A. Copp (20), M. Seider (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:21
  3. DET
    O. Sundqvist(6)
    M. Seider (14), L. Raymond (14)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:27
  4. WPG
    N. Pionk(7)
    M. Scheifele (12), C. Perfetti (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    17:17

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Kubalik(13)
    O. Sundqvist (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    2:57
  2. WPG
    S. Gagner(8)
    D. Gustafsson (5), A. Jonsson-Fjallby (6)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    9:46
  3. WPG
    N. Schmidt(4)
    C. Perfetti (16), B. Wheeler (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    12:08
  4. DET
    D. Larkin(14)PPG
    M. Seider (15), L. Raymond (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    17:38

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(2)
    K. Connor (30), N. Pionk (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    4-5
    0:33
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(2)
    G. Lindstrom (2), J. Veleno (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    4-6
    1:52
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(24)PPG
    P. Dubois (29), N. Ehlers (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +7 pts
    5-6
    14:55
  4. DET
    L. Raymond(11)EN
    D. Larkin (21)
    backhandxG 0.90win prob +5 pts
    5-7
    18:40

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:23WPGKarson Kuhlman · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

2nd

  • 16:05WPGDavid Gustafsson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 16:37WPGBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 17:48DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min

3rd

  • 8:12DETMoritz Seider · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 14:26DETRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalWPG goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Robby Fabbri, 3rd 1:52 — DET 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.90D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.19J. Berggren · Goal · xG 0.16L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.12J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.12J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · Goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00
DET7 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDET
3.85 G
All situations
6 G2.7
2.94 G
Even strength
5 G1.3
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG80%20%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDET
37
Shots on goal
23
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-140.22210—27:30
4N. PionkD112+120.11300—22:23
55M. ScheifeleC112+140.540002521:50
81K. ConnorL011-210.23210—21:16
88N. SchmidtD101020.41000—20:48
80P. DuboisC011-240.421006719:44
26B. WheelerR011010.243106319:03
91C. PerfettiC022+220.15020017:05
27N. EhlersL112-250.48100—16:55
5B. DillonD000-100.00122—16:43
2D. DeMeloD000-200.06110—14:46
54D. SambergD000000.01130—13:56
17A. LowryC000-220.062005713:11
36M. BarronC000-140.3810010013:11
89S. GagnerC101030.240003311:09
20K. KuhlmanC000-110.11102010:35
19D. GustafssonC011020.110028308:57
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL011-100.03100—07:52
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)22166.7271.83-4.1757:33

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).