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Red Wings at Jets
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
FinalTV BSDETX, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 11:57 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 25, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.5 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 3. Dylan DeMelo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0407214225
WPGWPG31121018629

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(29)
    B. Dillon (20), M. Scheifele (24)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:56
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(16)
    N. Ehlers (23), V. Namestnikov (14)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:57
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(39)
    N. Pionk (22), K. Connor (48)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    13:34

2nd period

  1. WPG
    D. DeMelo(5)
    M. Appleton (9), A. Lowry (22)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    1:20
  2. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(23)
    M. Appleton (10), D. DeMelo (19)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    13:42

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(10)
    B. Wheeler (36), V. Namestnikov (15)
    wristxG 0.29
    0-6
    5:07
  2. DET
    D. Perron(20)PPG
    M. Seider (34), D. Larkin (45)
    backhandxG 0.12
    1-6
    10:41
  3. DET
    J. Veleno(8)
    M. Luff (1), A. Erne (10)
    tip-inxG 0.18
    2-6
    11:02

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:05DETAustin Czarnik · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 18:40DETJake Walman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:54DETDavid Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 9:48WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalDET goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 1st 11:57 — WPG 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.35N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.29M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.26B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.20A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.12M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsWPG
2.12 G
All situations
6 G3.4
2.01 G
Even strength
6 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET27%73%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsWPG
25
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
8
22
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-320.03210—22:07
8B. ChiarotD000+100.02050—22:01
2O. MaattaD000+110.02140—21:21
96J. WalmanD000-310.12022—20:03
18A. CoppC000-220.020005018:50
82J. OesterleD000-300.02020—18:31
24P. SuterC000-230.35120018:05
90J. VelenoC101+120.192006715:36
28G. LindstromD000-300.05210—15:18
71D. LarkinC011-210.020003615:09
73A. ErneL011+120.2031010014:41
57D. PerronL101-230.15102—14:31
22M. LuffR011+130.12100—14:24
23L. RaymondL000-200.00100—14:05
52J. BerggrenR000-230.21010—13:30
81D. KubalikL000-210.340005012:45
48A. ChiassonR000-210.12010—11:52
21A. CzarnikC000-200.090224311:11
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(L)29236.7933.45-2.5560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).