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Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins

FinalTV SN, TVAS·Fenway Park

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1. The Penguins scored first; the Bruins answered. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 17:36 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 27, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (2 G), 2. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G), 3. Linus Ullmark (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    K. Kapanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0141607127
BOSBOS01009210229

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    8:40

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    7:46
  2. BOS
    T. Hall (15), D. Krejci (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +43 pts
    1-2
    17:36

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:33PITTeddy Blueger · Boardingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min

2nd

  • 2:24PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 2:34BOSDavid Pastrnak · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 4:38BOSHampus Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 1:11BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 5:40PITBrian Dumoulin · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalPIT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 17:36 — BOS 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.19J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.11P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBOS
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT41%59%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
29
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17B. RustR000-120.19100—26:06
28M. PetterssonD000020.20320—25:56
87S. CrosbyC000020.041004823:51
59J. GuentzelC000010.19120023:42
44J. RuttaD000020.02050—22:15
71E. MalkinC000-130.420305321:51
8B. DumoulinD000-200.02312—19:16
67R. RakellR000-140.19100—19:09
77J. CarterC011020.090107716:25
16J. ZuckerL000-100.00000—14:31
52M. FriedmanD000000.00420—13:00
73P. JosephD000020.02002—12:25
23B. McGinnL000010.03100—11:35
53T. BluegerC000020.021025711:35
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.00210—11:13
24T. SmithD000010.02000—10:27
42K. KapanenR101+120.21100—07:21
43D. HeinenL011+110.15000—05:07
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)21192.9051.86-0.1442:45
35T. Jarry8801.0000.45+0.4515:30

Season series

BOS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).