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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 0:49 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 32, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Kyrou (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11021428532
STLSTL11215014231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    C. Rosen(5)
    R. Thomas (25), J. Kyrou (17)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:41
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(4)
    M. Zuccarello (24), S. Steel (10)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:02

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(3)
    F. Gaudreau (8), M. Foligno (8)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    1:40
  2. STL
    R. Bortuzzo(1)
    P. Buchnevich (16), J. Kyrou (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:01
  3. MIN
    R. Hartman(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    5:13

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (16), J. Greenway (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    0:49
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(2)EN
    J. Spurgeon (13)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    15:56

Penalties

MIN 20 PIM·STL 16 PIM

1st

  • 9:41MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 19:18STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 8:15STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 13:47MINMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 5:44MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 12:50MINJordan Greenway · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 12:50STLJosh Leivo · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 19:21MINJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 19:21STLJosh Leivo · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:21MINJake Middleton · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 3rd 0:49 — MIN 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.23B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.22I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.19J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.19N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.17A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.15C. Rosen · Goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.12R. Bortuzzo · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
4.64 G
All situations
2 G3.2
3.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN53%47%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
32
Shots on goal
31
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/2
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
16
19
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
6
15
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD112+320.63160—21:58
36M. ZuccarelloR011+150.3800010021:39
25J. BrodinD000+110.02010—21:12
97K. KaprizovL000030.4520010020:20
14J. Eriksson EkC011+100.100002720:16
24M. DumbaD101+120.16002—19:18
5J. MiddletonD000+310.082410—19:15
2C. AddisonD000-100.00100—17:38
4J. MerrillD000-100.00202—16:59
13S. SteelC011020.210001515:57
17M. FolignoL011+200.00300—13:47
12M. BoldyL000+120.13104—13:19
89F. GaudreauC011+230.600302212:33
26C. DewarC000020.161004412:27
18J. GreenwayL112+111.05022—12:03
38R. HartmanR202+150.49000—12:02
15M. ShawC000020.03320011:38
75R. ReavesR000010.10300—09:44
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)31292.9353.23+1.2359:16

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).