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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV BSN, BSMW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The Blues scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Steel's goal at 11:37 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.9 to 3.2; shots on goal were STL 40, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.5 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 37 of 40 (.925). Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Steel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Leddy (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    S. Steel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    N. Leddy1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL118010212340
MINMIN28212110530

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    S. Blais(9)
    J. Faulk (37), J. Vrana (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:19
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(15)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:17
  3. MIN
    S. Steel(10)SHG
    R. Hartman (21)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(17)PPG
    G. Nyquist (13), J. Klingberg (22)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    14:27
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(11)
    G. Nyquist (14), S. Steel (18)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:25

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(6)
    B. Schenn (44), J. Faulk (38)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    1:11
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(26)
    N. Leddy (21), K. Kapanen (19)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    7:51
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +4 pts
    3-5
    18:07

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:53MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 15:27STLDmitri Samorukov · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

2nd

  • 1:25STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 13:10STLKasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 4:40STLJordan Kyrou · High stickingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 11:18MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Steel, 1st 11:37 — MIN 52% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.43B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.25R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.23S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.22M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.21R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.21K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.17M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.14J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.13F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.11C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL44%56%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
40
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
8
14
Blocked shots
15
1
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000+140.09130—23:19
4N. LeddyD011+110.01220—21:54
89P. BuchnevichL101020.200002520:34
72J. FaulkD022-130.17112—20:11
10B. SchennC011-140.210106220:01
47T. KrugD000+120.07110—19:23
18R. ThomasC000-110.030005018:12
43C. RosenD000010.14020—17:18
25J. KyrouR000-230.28002—16:06
20B. SaadL000-140.4100010015:08
42K. KapanenR011-230.290025014:47
79S. BlaisL101010.08200—14:35
37D. SamorukovD000-110.17022—13:57
13A. ToropchenkoR000030.24010—13:25
63J. NeighboursL101+130.36110—13:22
26N. WalkerL000020.061005710:37
15J. VranaL011-100.00000—10:26
9T. PitlickC000020.34000009:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)29254.8623.49-0.5159:26

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).