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Flyers at Golden Knights
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, NBCSP+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 3:21. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 3:21 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 28, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Adin Hill stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 2. William Carrier (1 G), 3. Adin Hill (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Carrier1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI091120601128
VGKVGK1801501011234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:45

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:47

Overtime

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:21

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·VGK 0 PIM

2nd

  • 9:36PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 17:04PHINoah Cates · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalPHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 3:21 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.26J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.10B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 1.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsVGK
2.51 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI62%38%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
40
Hits
23
22
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-110.03310—26:19
55R. RistolainenD000-100.00450—25:58
6T. SanheimD000020.35020—23:24
11T. KonecnyR000-130.42000—20:21
61J. BraunD000+100.02110—18:59
49N. CatesL000000.033323517:55
45C. YorkD000-100.10110—17:54
13K. HayesR000-130.041005517:42
21S. LaughtonC101020.132024316:51
17Z. MacEwenR000040.624105014:47
86J. FarabeeL000020.24110—14:13
48M. FrostC000030.211201714:09
25J. van RiemsdykL000010.01000—13:47
24N. SeelerD000000.00300—13:30
44N. DeslauriersL000020.01400—13:04
74O. TippettR000+110.05330—13:00
38P. BrownC000020.172103812:30
23L. SedlakC000020.027103811:40
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(O)34322.9411.79-0.2163:21

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).