Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 3:21. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 3:21 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 28, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Adin Hill stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 2. William Carrier (1 G), 3. Adin Hill (27 saves, .964).
Three stars
- ★J. Marchessault1 G

- ★★W. Carrier1 G

- ★★★A. Hill27 saves, .964

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-111:45
2nd period
1-11:47
Overtime
1-23:21
Penalties
2nd
- 9:36
Scott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
3rd
- 17:04
Noah Cates · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 3:21 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.8
- 2.51 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.78
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 40
- Hits
- 23
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 3
- Giveaways
- 6
- 7
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
VGK leads 2-0
1@
2OTthis game
5@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















