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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSWA, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Flyers scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 9:19 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 27, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie Lindgren (29 saves, .967), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH04112311427
PHIPHI1708015130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    15:46

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    3:51

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +32 pts
    2-1
    9:19
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    18:25
  3. WSH
    backhandxG 0.92
    4-1
    19:51

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·PHI 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:19WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min
  • 11:05PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 14:16WSHConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 16:33PHILukas Sedlak · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 19:49PHIZack MacEwen · Trippingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

2nd

  • 2:21PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 11:01WSHErik Gustafsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:51PHITravis Konecny · Misconductdrawn by Alex Ovechkin10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 3rd 9:19 — WSH 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.13M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.12K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.07Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.07L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
4.32 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.11 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH61%39%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
30
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
18
20
Hits
33
9
Blocked shots
22
8
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022+320.12130—26:08
92E. KuznetsovC022+240.411107321:49
56E. GustafssonD011+310.03102—21:01
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00010—20:48
3N. JensenD000010.00010—19:44
8A. OvechkinL202+382.18210—19:10
77T. OshieR101030.441023317:35
17D. StromeC112+110.240005816:08
20L. EllerC000000.002004315:25
90M. JohanssonL000020.2300010014:27
15S. MilanoL000010.11000—14:01
73C. ShearyL011+220.19102—13:37
52M. IrwinD000000.02300—13:22
39A. ManthaR011+120.29010—13:17
21G. HathawayR000000.01200—13:12
27A. AlexeyevD000000.00110—12:05
26N. DowdC000000.003004011:37
59A. ProtasL000000.00200—11:29
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)30291.9672.19+1.1959:35

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).