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New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dawson Mercer's goal at 1:49 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.0 to 1.3; shots on goal were NJD 18, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Carter Hart stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miles Wood (2 A), 2. Akira Schmid (31 saves, .939), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Wood2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Schmid31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD041826318
PHIPHI01211219233

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    6:01
  2. PHI
    N. Cates (6), K. Hayes (17)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    7:41

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.08win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:49
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:56
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    15:12

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:24NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 15:42PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

2nd

  • 6:19NJDBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 9:17NJDAlexander Holtz · Slashingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 12:50PHIJustin Braun · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 10:36PHIMorgan Frost · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNJD goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Dawson Mercer, 3rd 1:49 — NJD 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.15Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.15M. Willman · Missed · xG 0.12L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.10L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.10T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06L. Sedlak · Goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPHI
1.33 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD35%65%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.27 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPHI
18
Shots on goal
33
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000+100.00330—22:19
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.02240—20:56
91D. MercerC101+110.08200020:44
7D. HamiltonD000030.21110—20:01
86J. HughesC101+120.180003319:41
13N. HischierC000010.100005319:33
28D. SeversonD000+200.01020—17:44
20M. McLeodC011+120.021206917:24
90T. TatarL000010.02200—16:52
63J. BrattL000+110.09200—16:43
33R. GravesD000000.08330—16:43
56E. HaulaL011+110.083027716:29
2B. SmithD000+200.02412—16:25
44M. WoodL022+120.05600—15:53
49F. ZetterlundL101030.32300—15:15
17Y. SharangovichC000000.00000009:09
10A. HoltzR000000.00002—07:13
70J. BoqvistC000000.00000005:38
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)33312.9391.98-0.0259:56

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).