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New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Devils scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 10:39 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.8, PHI 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 37, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 G), 2. Ivan Provorov (2 A), 3. Carter Hart (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD110015112237
PHIPHI182829525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    A. Holtz(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    8:01
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:24

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:39
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    11:02

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    1:31
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    9:26
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.81
    2-5
    18:01

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:05PHIOwen Tippett · Boardingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 6:38PHIMorgan Frost · Holdingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 10:26NJDDawson Mercer · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 16:18PHIScott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 19:27PHITony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 19:27NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

2nd

  • 4:41NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 19:48NJDMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNJD goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 10:39 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.81J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.25S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.13W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.10M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.06W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPHI
2.82 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD64%36%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPHI
37
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
28
9
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD101-130.13000—24:36
86J. HughesC000-210.270003322:54
7D. HamiltonD000-130.10102—22:42
6J. MarinoD000-110.02000—19:14
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.03110—19:03
33R. GravesD000-130.09210—18:59
18O. PalatL000-310.12200—18:29
56E. HaulaL000030.141008318:19
91D. MercerC011-260.361127116:37
17Y. SharangovichC000+120.32020016:34
90T. TatarL000-120.070105016:09
63J. BrattL022+140.20000—15:57
10A. HoltzR101-240.45010—14:36
70J. BoqvistC000-110.112206010:59
44M. WoodL000010.24102—10:33
20M. McLeodC000-100.002005010:24
2B. SmithD000-210.17400—10:15
14N. BastianR000010.03102—08:25
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)24204.8332.05-1.9557:32

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).