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Panthers at Flames
NHL

Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV BSFL, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 9:21 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 68% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 33, CGY 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.5 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dan Vladar (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Vladar31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA010211012233
CGYCGY381629623

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(4)SHG
    A. Mangiapane (5)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:05
  2. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(4)PPG
    T. Toffoli (8), R. Andersson (13)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    9:21
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(3)
    N. Hanifin (8), D. Dube (4)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:03

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Cousins(3)
    G. Forsling (14), A. Ekblad (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    9:54
  2. CGY
    B. Ritchie(5)
    M. Weegar (6), T. Lewis (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    15:29
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(7)
    A. Lundell (9), M. Staal (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    16:55

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Toffoli(8)
    J. Huberdeau (8)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    15:22
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(4)
    D. Dube (5), N. Hanifin (9)
    snapxG 0.14
    2-6
    18:54

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:01CGYBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 7:54FLARadko Gudas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:52FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

2nd

  • 6:04CGYserved by M. Stone · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:55CGYNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 13:21FLARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 18:19FLAPatric Hornqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 18:19CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

3rd

  • 4:58CGYMichael Stone · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 4:58FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
  • 11:35FLAJosh Mahura · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 19:20CGYMichael Stone · Hookingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalFLA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 1st 9:21 — CGY 68% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.28R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.23T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.19A. Ruzicka · Missed · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ruzicka · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ruzicka · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCGY
2.22 G
All situations
6 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA45%55%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
23
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
13
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011-250.44020—25:11
62B. MontourD000-310.03110—24:00
42G. ForslingD011-140.09110—22:28
19M. TkachukL000-230.42002—21:50
9S. BennettC000-220.210305020:09
18M. StaalD011000.00010—18:32
13S. ReinhartC101030.162103118:21
15A. LundellC011+120.160005016:42
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.05010016:41
27E. LuostarinenC000-210.00110015:17
28J. MahuraD000010.01112—14:47
7R. GudasD000-110.02314—13:30
6C. WhiteC000-120.110005012:00
12E. StaalC000020.170002211:38
94R. LombergL000-110.03002—11:12
21N. CousinsC101+220.11300009:57
70P. HornqvistR000010.14102—09:29
20A. HeponiemiC000-110.06000008:05
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)23176.7392.48-3.5258:44

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).