Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Minnesota Wild 6-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 18:20 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 32, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 2 A), 2. Kris Letang (1 G), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby2 G, 2 A

- ★★K. Letang1 G

- ★★★J. Eriksson Ek2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-08:15
2-017:03
2nd period
2-14:31
2-24:43
3-218:20
3rd period
4-25:50
4-311:23
5-314:33
6-316:31
6-419:52
Penalties
1st
- 9:41
Jan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
2nd
- 12:39
Mathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
- 15:33
Josh Archibald · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Filip Gustavsson2 min
- 16:29
Joel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
- 17:45
Connor Dewar · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
3rd
- 4:57
Brandon Duhaime · Slashingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
- 6:05
Jeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 11:13
Mason Shaw · Cross checkingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kris Letang, 2nd 18:20 — 52% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.65 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.3
- 1.23 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 1.62 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 25
- Hits
- 29
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 5
- Giveaways
- 6
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-0
6@
4this game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






