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Wild at Penguins
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSNX·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 15:02 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 28, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.9 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tristan Jarry (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN05013110128
PITPIT1191527431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(11)
    B. Dumoulin (23), J. Guentzel (35)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:02

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(28)PPG
    K. Letang (27), J. Guentzel (36)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    10:53

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(27)
    E. Malkin (56), R. Rakell (30)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    2:58
  2. MIN
    M. Johansson(17)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (45), M. Boldy (31)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    7:39
  3. PIT
    J. Carter(13)
    D. O'Connor (6), B. Dumoulin (24)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    13:08

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:31MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 3:47MINJonas Brodin · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 8:18PITJosh Archibald · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 10:35MINJonas Brodin · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 12:35PITJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 19:13PITJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 6:48PITJeff Petry · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 7:21PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 15:32MINMarcus Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalMIN goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, 1st 15:02 — PIT 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.15B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.10R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsPIT
1.81 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
23
3
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
12M. BoldyL011-110.110002521:28
36M. ZuccarelloR011010.02000—20:53
3J. KlingbergD000-120.11010—20:19
89F. GaudreauC000-210.250005020:17
24M. DumbaD000-200.00202—19:35
46J. SpurgeonD000050.29020—19:28
5J. MiddletonD000000.01310—19:23
90M. JohanssonL101-210.08000—19:06
25J. BrodinD000-240.17014—18:31
17M. FolignoL000-110.12512—16:55
38R. HartmanR000-140.142205016:41
13S. SteelC000010.002004015:44
4J. MerrillD000-110.01100—15:05
26C. DewarC000000.004002512:37
21B. DuhaimeL000030.20200—12:34
75R. ReavesR000-110.01200—09:38
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.280304308:16
70O. SundqvistC000-100.00000007:15
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)31274.8712.07-1.9359:57

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).