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Canucks at Sabres
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres

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Vancouver Canucks
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-4. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 3:43 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 20% to 37%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were VAN 32, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G, 2 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Skinner (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN21531205532
BUFBUF1829115432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    D. Joshua(3)
    N. Aman (3), W. Lockwood (1)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:01
  2. VAN
    E. Bear(1)
    B. Horvat (5), C. Garland (6)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:18
  3. BUF
    J. Skinner(4)
    R. Dahlin (11), A. Tuch (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    11:15

2nd period

  1. VAN
    E. Pettersson(7)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    0:31
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(5)
    T. Thompson (9), A. Tuch (6)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:43
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(10)PPG
    B. Horvat (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    7:13
  4. VAN
    B. Horvat(14)PPG
    B. Boeser (9), E. Pettersson (13)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    8:25
  5. BUF
    A. Tuch(8)
    O. Power (8), T. Thompson (10)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    11:12

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(4)
    D. Cozens (7), P. Krebs (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    5-4
    12:02

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:32VANBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 18:16BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min

2nd

  • 6:20BUFIlya Lyubushkin · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 7:32BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by William Lockwood2 min
  • 18:22VANBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 9:57VANBrock Boeser · Cross checkingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalVAN goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 2nd 3:43 — BUF 20% → 37%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.25J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.20T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.15J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.15T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.15V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Pilut · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Pilut · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF4 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsBUF
3.95 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.92 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN54%46%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsBUF
32
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
5
19
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. MillerC101+140.270102525:05
53B. HorvatC123+181.000146522:42
43Q. HughesD000-110.01000—21:42
44K. BurroughsD000-100.00220—20:06
2L. SchennD000-240.05330—19:46
40E. PetterssonC112+110.130205018:49
57T. MyersD000000.26130—18:45
74E. BearD101+120.15110—18:41
8C. GarlandR011+120.67000—18:33
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+110.01000—17:40
65I. MikheyevR000+130.3100010016:14
88N. AmanC011+110.110206715:45
6B. BoeserR011-310.13002—13:09
81D. JoshuaC101010.371005011:21
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.39000—11:06
7W. LockwoodR011+110.01220—10:18
15S. DriesC000-400.000202507:33
21N. HoglanderL000-310.01100—06:45
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Martin(W)32284.8753.10-0.9060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).