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Flyers at Blue Jackets
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Vladislav Gavrikov scoring at 3:14. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Gavrikov's goal at 3:14 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 37, CBJ 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.0 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Boone Jenner (2 G), 2. Vladislav Gavrikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    V. Gavrikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0721621301437
CBJCBJ191921312533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:36

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    B. Jenner(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:36
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:54
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:16

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    3:22
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:35
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    4:58
  4. PHI
    N. Cates (3), K. Hayes (12)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +25 pts
    4-4
    9:14

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    3:14

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:09CBJErik Gudbranson · Interferencedrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min
  • 4:27PHIOwen Tippett · Interferencedrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 5:29CBJSean Kuraly · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 5:29PHIKevin Hayes · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 8:41CBJBrendan Gaunce · Slashingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalPHI goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Gavrikov, OT 3:14 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.26B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.22E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.19E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.18E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.18L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.14V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.14M. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.13S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.12E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.11S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.10E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.09E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCBJ
2.64 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.93 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI42%58%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCBJ
37
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
25
0
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD000-120.13000—31:00
9I. ProvorovD000020.09010—25:13
13K. HayesR112-110.111125620:51
6T. SanheimD000-220.05010—20:41
21S. LaughtonC011-140.194005019:19
49N. CatesL112-140.302203819:16
74O. TippettR011030.21422—19:16
11T. KonecnyR112-150.7000010019:13
86J. FarabeeL011030.19100—17:08
55R. RistolainenD000010.04140—16:52
17Z. MacEwenR011020.08310—15:27
61J. BraunD000010.01110—14:44
48M. FrostC011+110.042105713:46
24N. SeelerD101+220.07110—13:11
71M. WillmanC000+120.32300012:35
23L. SedlakC000000.001205009:43
20K. BellowsL000020.03100—09:23
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00210—08:55
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(O)33285.8482.98-2.0263:14

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).