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Penguins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 1:54 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 23, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Erik Kallgren stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Zucker1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT171927423
TORTOR11011604230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese(2)
    D. Malgin (2), D. Kampf (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:49
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(6)
    C. Ruhwedel (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:24

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(4)
    E. Malkin (9), M. Pettersson (6)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:08
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(6)PPG
    M. Rielly (11), M. Marner (14)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    17:17

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. McGinn(3)
    D. Heinen (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:54
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(8)EN
    S. Crosby (10)
    pokexG 0.94win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:47

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:59PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 16:10PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

2nd

  • 7:12TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 15:19PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPIT goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Brock McGinn, 3rd 1:54 — PIT 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.26M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.26A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.25C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTOR
4.43 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT29%71%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTOR
23
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
41
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD011+120.32420—22:55
58K. LetangD000020.02342—22:02
26J. PetryD000+130.09730—21:04
8B. DumoulinD000010.02320—20:49
59J. GuentzelC101021.07000020:16
87S. CrosbyC011000.002104819:50
17B. RustR000000.53200—18:32
44J. RuttaD000+200.00110—16:34
77J. CarterC000+110.010005815:42
2C. RuhwedelD011+200.00300—15:14
16J. ZuckerL101+240.49500—14:22
23B. McGinnL101+120.65120—14:17
71E. MalkinC112+230.330045014:17
67R. RakellR000+210.02210—14:15
43D. HeinenL011+100.00300—13:42
25R. PoehlingC000010.092204010:40
15J. ArchibaldR000010.79310—10:36
36F. HallanderC000000.00000008:55
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)30282.9332.92+0.9260:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).