Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 12:53 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 62% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 28, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock McGinn (1 G), 2. Casey DeSmith (24 saves, .960), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. McGinn1 G

- ★★C. DeSmith24 saves, .960

- ★★★M. Johansson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-07:43
2-012:53
3-015:05
3rd period
3-112:22
4-118:24
Penalties
1st
- 18:52
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
2nd
- 1:03
Sidney Crosby · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
- 9:52
Garnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 12:30
Jan Rutta · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
- 17:46
Jeff Carter · Roughingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
3rd
- 13:31
Bryan Rust · Fightingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk5 min
- 13:31
Trevor van Riemsdyk · Fightingdrawn by Bryan Rust5 min
- 13:48
Conor Sheary · Illegal check to headdrawn by Filip Hallander2 min
- 19:39
Josh Archibald · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock McGinn, 2nd 12:53 — 62% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.6
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.3
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 32
- Hits
- 36
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 9
- Giveaways
- 7
- 16
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-1
4@
1this game
2@
3SOFinal
3@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















