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Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 2:55 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 48, ANA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 32 of 35 (.914); John Gibson stopped 43 of 47 (.915). Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 3 A), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 3. Spencer Knight (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA117112319548
ANAANA011213111335

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    11:31

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:51
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    8:00
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:27

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.36win prob +26 pts
    3-2
    2:55
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    8:10
  3. ANA
    I. Lundestrom(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    4-3
    18:46
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.82win prob +1 pts
    5-3
    19:59

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·ANA 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:26ANANathan Beaulieu · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 10:46ANAAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Aleksi Heponiemi2 min

3rd

  • 5:23ANAMax Jones · Slashingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
  • 6:36ANADmitry Kulikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 7:12FLACarter Verhaeghe · Interferencedrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 10:17FLAMarc Staal · Holdingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 14:33FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 14:33ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 18:23ANACam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 18:46FLAGustav Forsling · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Isac Lundeström0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalFLA goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 3rd 2:55 — FLA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.28I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.21R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.16R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.15I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.08M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06G. Gawdin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01G. Gawdin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsANA
4.64 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.13 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA65%35%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.63 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsANA
48
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
14
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
31
9
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+140.18230—26:29
62B. MontourD134+150.39012—25:15
16A. BarkovC000-140.431106723:24
13S. ReinhartC202+171.750007521:40
7R. GudasD000010.01420—20:32
23C. VerhaegheC112-150.34002019:13
15A. LundellC022+210.070003818:50
3M. KierstedD000010.02100—14:59
18M. StaalD011010.02302—14:20
28J. MahuraD000010.04100—14:19
6C. WhiteC000-140.20010014:06
9S. BennettC101040.630105814:03
27E. LuostarinenC011020.090203313:58
94R. LombergL011+120.13100—12:47
21N. CousinsC000-100.02000010:57
20A. HeponiemiC011+110.0501010010:42
12E. StaalC000030.161006709:25
38R. BalcersL000+120.05000—09:10
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)35323.9142.79-0.2159:51

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).