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Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ALT2, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Colorado Avalanche 1-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 2:59 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 24, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G), 3. John Marino.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    V. Vanecek24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Marino

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL04010010024
NJDNJD080718123

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    2:59

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·NJD 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:38NJDTomas Tatar · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 12:10COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 18:46NJDFabian Zetterlund · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 4:37COLLogan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 6:51NJDMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 12:03NJDYegor Sharangovich · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 1:50COLBowen Byram · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 4:37NJDDamon Severson · Slashingdrawn by Martin Kaut2 min
  • 19:00NJDTomas Tatar · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCOL goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 3rd 2:59 — NJD 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.21J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNJD
2.40 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.20 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL55%45%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
23
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
17
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
17
0
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000020.15320—25:49
29N. MacKinnonC000071.051102025:29
62A. LehkonenL000030.25300—24:37
96M. RantanenR000010.161302024:11
4B. ByramD000000.01002—21:50
9E. RodriguesC000020.320005021:24
7D. ToewsD000000.00140—21:19
37J. CompherL000010.170003820:17
49S. GirardD000010.01010—17:40
25L. O'ConnorR000010.02302—14:56
11A. CoglianoC000020.09120014:01
6E. JohnsonD000010.03120—13:52
18A. NewhookC000000.001001413:13
42J. MansonD000010.01002—12:21
22D. HuntL000010.05200—07:46
61M. KautR000010.03010—07:17
57M. MaltsevL000000.000105007:01
26J. MacDonaldD000000.00000—03:21
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)23221.9572.09+1.0958:27

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).