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Devils at Avalanche
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸7
Colorado Avalanche
5
FinalTV ALT, MSGSN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-5. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dawson Mercer's goal at 16:59 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 29, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.5 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dawson Mercer (1 G, 3 A), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD31231017729
COLCOL11038113531

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    O. Palat(7)
    J. Bratt (33)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:07
  2. NJD
    N. Bastian(5)
    M. McLeod (18), D. Severson (15)
    pokexG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    7:52
  3. NJD
    T. Tatar(14)
    N. Hischier (31), D. Mercer (21)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    11:27
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(23)
    V. Nichushkin (16), A. Lehkonen (24)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    19:46

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Hamilton(18)
    M. McLeod (19), M. Wood (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    3:13
  2. NJD
    M. Wood(10)PPG
    E. Haula (22), D. Mercer (22)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    5:53
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(41)
    J. Manson (8), A. Newhook (10)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    7:32
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(24)
    B. Byram (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    9:00
  5. COL
    J. Compher(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    5-4
    9:36
  6. NJD
    D. Mercer(20)
    R. Graves (15), T. Tatar (22)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    6-4
    16:59

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(11)
    A. Lehkonen (25), S. Girard (20)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    6-5
    1:26
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(26)EN
    T. Tatar (23), D. Mercer (23)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    7-5
    18:46

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:52COLserved by D. Malgin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 3:53COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 1:26NJDserved by O. Palat · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Dawson Mercer, 2nd 16:59 — NJD 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
3.96 G
All situations
5 G2.3
2.45 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD55%45%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000-120.13010—23:06
33R. GravesD011010.02120—22:45
13N. HischierC112+321.082304719:55
7D. HamiltonD101+120.12010—18:57
91D. MercerC134+310.30000018:15
28D. SeversonD011+110.02020—17:57
90T. TatarL123+310.09300—17:25
71J. SiegenthalerD000+100.00220—17:11
88K. BahlD000000.04220—16:13
56E. HaulaL011-110.451005415:57
86J. HughesC000-110.090103815:57
63J. BrattL011-110.07000—15:16
18O. PalatL101020.17010—14:22
14N. BastianR101050.46100—13:49
17Y. SharangovichC000-330.15020013:42
20M. McLeodC022010.261006713:20
44M. WoodL112+140.27000—12:07
70J. BoqvistC000-110.14000011:46
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)19145.7371.55-3.4541:26
40A. Schmid121201.0000.72+0.7218:34

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).