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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 18:30 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 32, CAR 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.8 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (31 saves, .969), 3. Brady Skjei (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ01011408132
CARCAR010213220443

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:11
  2. CAR
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:12
  3. CAR
    slapxG 0.02win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:30

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.34win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:29
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:18

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:40CARBrett Pesce · Interferencedrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 12:58CARCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 15:03CBJCole Sillinger · Slashingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 7:11CBJJustin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 2nd 18:30 — CAR 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.33J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.14D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.2 xG · 74 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
2.21 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.01 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ33%67%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
43
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
22
22
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011-120.07130—24:04
44E. GudbransonD000-110.02120—20:59
13J. GaudreauL000+120.18000—20:11
4V. GavrikovD000-220.03100—19:43
38B. JennerC000050.452205819:23
2A. PeekeD000-310.00220—18:32
27A. BoqvistD000+120.10020—17:27
17J. DanforthR000-350.502023316:46
50E. RobinsonL000-110.01610—16:32
22J. BeanD000020.18110—15:47
14G. NyquistR000-110.09100—15:43
93J. VoracekR000-210.04020—15:14
34C. SillingerC000-100.001022014:59
59E. ChinakhovR000-110.01110—14:40
7S. KuralyC000010.032403713:27
96J. RoslovicC000-210.190003013:26
24M. OlivierR000020.12410—11:18
29P. LaineL101+120.16110—07:49
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)43394.9073.16-0.8460:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).