Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 18:30 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 32, CAR 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.8 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (31 saves, .969), 3. Brady Skjei (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Necas1 G, 2 A

- ★★F. Andersen31 saves, .969

- ★★★B. Skjei1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-00:11
1-15:12
1-218:30
3rd period
1-36:29
1-49:18
Penalties
2nd
- 10:40
Brett Pesce · Interferencedrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
- 12:58
Calvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 15:03
Cole Sillinger · Slashingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
3rd
- 7:11
Justin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brady Skjei, 2nd 18:30 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.2
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.7
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 3.13
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 26
- Hits
- 22
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 11
- Giveaways
- 16
- 10
- Takeaways
- 18
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-1
1@
4this game
3@
4SOFinal
6@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















